TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ai Maruyama and Mia Princip in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against Mia Princip. This market will resolve to 'Mia Princip' if Mia Princip advances against Ai Maruyama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ai Maruyama and Mia Princip in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against Mia Princip. This market will resolve to 'Mia Princip' if Mia Princip advances against Ai Maruyama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ai Maruyama vs Mia Princip match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a growing belief in its likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ai Maruyama vs Mia Princip match, as declared by the governing body of the W35 Sydney tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. The process aims to provide a clear and objective determination of the market's result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, broader developments within the W35 Sydney tournament, such as upsets involving other players, might indirectly impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as expressed through social media or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential shifts in the market.