TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ai Maruyama and D'Estree Colalancia in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against D'Estree Colalancia. This market will resolve to 'D'Estree Colalancia' if D'Estree Colalancia advances against Ai Maruyama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ai Maruyama and D'Estree Colalancia in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against D'Estree Colalancia. This market will resolve to 'D'Estree Colalancia' if D'Estree Colalancia advances against Ai Maruyama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether a particular outcome will occur. As more people buy shares in an outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share represents the probability of that outcome happening, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ai Maruyama vs D'Estree Colalancia match, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their coaching staff could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders or large volume spikes could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Public opinion and analysis from sports experts may also play a role.