TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yasmine Kabbaj and Ruth Roura Llaverias in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Kabbaj' if Yasmine Kabbaj advances against Ruth Roura Llaverias. This market will resolve to 'Ruth Roura Llaverias' if Ruth Roura Llaverias advances against Yasmine Kabbaj. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yasmine Kabbaj and Ruth Roura Llaverias in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Kabbaj' if Yasmine Kabbaj advances against Ruth Roura Llaverias. This market will resolve to 'Ruth Roura Llaverias' if Ruth Roura Llaverias advances against Yasmine Kabbaj. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd views the probability of each player winning the Kabbaj vs Roura match, compared to professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kabbaj vs Roura match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective forecast. The market is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kabbaj vs Roura match, as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or coaching changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media discussions, can also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Kabbaj vs Roura match.