TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vanja Gudelj and Carlota Corte in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vanja Gudelj' if Vanja Gudelj advances against Carlota Corte. This market will resolve to 'Carlota Corte' if Carlota Corte advances against Vanja Gudelj. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vanja Gudelj and Carlota Corte in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vanja Gudelj' if Vanja Gudelj advances against Carlota Corte. This market will resolve to 'Carlota Corte' if Carlota Corte advances against Vanja Gudelj. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand – there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism on this platform. This creates a dynamic and responsive market that reflects the evolving opinions of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Seville match between Vanja Gudelj and Carlota Corte. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or even weather forecasts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026.