TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Abril Bruno and Silvia Caliman in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Abril Bruno' if Valentina Abril Bruno advances against Silvia Caliman. This market will resolve to 'Silvia Caliman' if Silvia Caliman advances against Valentina Abril Bruno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Abril Bruno and Silvia Caliman in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Abril Bruno' if Valentina Abril Bruno advances against Silvia Caliman. This market will resolve to 'Silvia Caliman' if Silvia Caliman advances against Valentina Abril Bruno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders setting the odds based on their own research and analysis of the Abril vs Caliman match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Seville match between Valentina Abril Bruno and Silvia Caliman, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, causing the price of shares to move. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements.