TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Quesada Oyonarte and Lucia Ros Parres in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marina Quesada Oyonarte' if Marina Quesada Oyonarte advances against Lucia Ros Parres. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Ros Parres' if Lucia Ros Parres advances against Marina Quesada Oyonarte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Quesada Oyonarte and Lucia Ros Parres in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marina Quesada Oyonarte' if Marina Quesada Oyonarte advances against Lucia Ros Parres. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Ros Parres' if Lucia Ros Parres advances against Marina Quesada Oyonarte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a particular player winning the Seville tennis match. The volume traded provides insight into the confidence level behind those probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Seville tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the match's conclusion.