TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Mattel and Ailish Garcia Fernandez in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Mattel' if Marie Mattel advances against Ailish Garcia Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Ailish Garcia Fernandez' if Ailish Garcia Fernandez advances against Marie Mattel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Mattel and Ailish Garcia Fernandez in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Mattel' if Marie Mattel advances against Ailish Garcia Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Ailish Garcia Fernandez' if Ailish Garcia Fernandez advances against Marie Mattel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, indicating decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marie Mattel vs Ailish Garcia Fernandez match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators or expert predictions could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might draw attention to this market and influence trading decisions, as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived discrepancies in probabilities for the Marie Mattel vs Ailish Garcia Fernandez match.