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$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Garcia Cid and Lucie Nguyen Tan in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Garcia Cid' if Maria Garcia Cid advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Maria Garcia Cid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Garcia Cid and Lucie Nguyen Tan in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Garcia Cid' if Maria Garcia Cid advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Maria Garcia Cid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate unexpected news or insights, and they can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, particularly when a large and informed group participates. Examining both can be valuable for a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there is no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing expectations surrounding the Garcia Cid vs Nguyen Tan match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Seville match between Maria Garcia Cid and Lucie Nguyen Tan. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available and authoritative sources, such as official tournament websites or sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match, and the shares will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the event approaches.