TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Garcia Cid and Ailish Garcia Fernandez in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Garcia Cid' if Maria Garcia Cid advances against Ailish Garcia Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Ailish Garcia Fernandez' if Ailish Garcia Fernandez advances against Maria Garcia Cid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Garcia Cid and Ailish Garcia Fernandez in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Garcia Cid' if Maria Garcia Cid advances against Ailish Garcia Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Ailish Garcia Fernandez' if Ailish Garcia Fernandez advances against Maria Garcia Cid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Garcia Cid vs Garcia Fernandez match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the one with the highest implied probability.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Seville match between Maria Garcia Cid and Ailish Garcia Fernandez. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements related to the match to stay informed about the resolution process.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from reputable tennis analysts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can impact the price, especially if they indicate strong conviction from informed traders regarding the Garcia Cid vs Garcia Fernandez match. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.