TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Boehner and Vega Aguilar Ferrandez in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Boehner' if Laura Boehner advances against Vega Aguilar Ferrandez. This market will resolve to 'Vega Aguilar Ferrandez' if Vega Aguilar Ferrandez advances against Laura Boehner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Boehner and Vega Aguilar Ferrandez in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Boehner' if Laura Boehner advances against Vega Aguilar Ferrandez. This market will resolve to 'Vega Aguilar Ferrandez' if Vega Aguilar Ferrandez advances against Laura Boehner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Seville tennis match between Laura Boehner and Vega Aguilar Ferrandez. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the winner of the match and settle the market accordingly. Successful predictions will be paid out to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or significant shifts in public opinion, could also impact the odds. Major upsets in other tennis tournaments, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, might also cause fluctuations in the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move this market.