TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Tsygourova and Amandine Hesse in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Tsygourova' if Katerina Tsygourova advances against Amandine Hesse. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Hesse' if Amandine Hesse advances against Katerina Tsygourova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Tsygourova and Amandine Hesse in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Tsygourova' if Katerina Tsygourova advances against Amandine Hesse. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Hesse' if Amandine Hesse advances against Katerina Tsygourova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or biases. If significant differences exist between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders possess unique insights or have access to information not fully priced into the sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tsygourova vs Hesse match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, and the closer the event gets, the more the price is expected to converge towards the true probability of the outcome, as new information becomes available and traders refine their assessments.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Seville match between Katerina Tsygourova and Amandine Hesse. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning player. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or pre-match analysis from respected tennis commentators could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the price to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match.