TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Ce and Marie Mettraux in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ce' if Gabriela Ce advances against Marie Mettraux. This market will resolve to 'Marie Mettraux' if Marie Mettraux advances against Gabriela Ce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Ce and Marie Mettraux in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ce' if Gabriela Ce advances against Marie Mettraux. This market will resolve to 'Marie Mettraux' if Marie Mettraux advances against Gabriela Ce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current volume of trading is $4,401, indicating the level of interest and activity surrounding this event.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Seville tennis match between Gabriela Ce and Marie Mettraux. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and reporting to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the resolution process is independent and relies on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.