TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Caijsa Wilda Hennemann in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Esther Lopez Alcaraz' if Esther Lopez Alcaraz advances against Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. This market will resolve to 'Caijsa Wilda Hennemann' if Caijsa Wilda Hennemann advances against Esther Lopez Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Caijsa Wilda Hennemann in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Esther Lopez Alcaraz' if Esther Lopez Alcaraz advances against Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. This market will resolve to 'Caijsa Wilda Hennemann' if Caijsa Wilda Hennemann advances against Esther Lopez Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market lifecycle or when significant new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket tend to converge with sportsbook odds, as both attempt to accurately predict the outcome of the Lopez Alcaraz vs Hennemann match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Seville tennis match between Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Lopez Alcaraz vs Hennemann match might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket can cause noticeable price movements, reflecting changes in trader confidence. Keep an eye on tennis news and analysis for potential catalysts.