TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between carlota blanco and Maria Trujillo Garnica in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'carlota blanco' if carlota blanco advances against Maria Trujillo Garnica. This market will resolve to 'Maria Trujillo Garnica' if Maria Trujillo Garnica advances against carlota blanco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between carlota blanco and Maria Trujillo Garnica in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'carlota blanco' if carlota blanco advances against Maria Trujillo Garnica. This market will resolve to 'Maria Trujillo Garnica' if Maria Trujillo Garnica advances against carlota blanco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in an outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result of the Blanco vs Trujillo Garnica match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Blanco vs Trujillo Garnica match will be used to determine the winning share. Resolution will depend on official results published by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching staff could all impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Carlota Blanco or Maria Trujillo Garnica could also shift market sentiment. Even broader factors, such as weather conditions at the tournament location, or public commentary from tennis analysts, could introduce new information and affect trading decisions. Significant volume spikes responding to these events would be a key indicator of changing expectations.