TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Zantedeschi and Caijsa Wilda Hennemann in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Zantedeschi' if Aurora Zantedeschi advances against Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. This market will resolve to 'Caijsa Wilda Hennemann' if Caijsa Wilda Hennemann advances against Aurora Zantedeschi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Zantedeschi and Caijsa Wilda Hennemann in the W35 Seville, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Zantedeschi' if Aurora Zantedeschi advances against Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. This market will resolve to 'Caijsa Wilda Hennemann' if Caijsa Wilda Hennemann advances against Aurora Zantedeschi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about key factors influencing the match, or differing levels of confidence in the available information. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand, meaning shifts in sentiment or new information can quickly impact the odds. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving expectations surrounding the Zantedeschi vs Hennemann match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Seville match between Aurora Zantedeschi and Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis performance or head-to-head records between the players could influence traders’ assessments. Increased media coverage or expert analysis offering strong opinions on the likely winner could also contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.