TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adriana Coltorti lopez and Ana Maye Martinez in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adriana Coltorti lopez' if Adriana Coltorti lopez advances against Ana Maye Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Ana Maye Martinez' if Ana Maye Martinez advances against Adriana Coltorti lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adriana Coltorti lopez and Ana Maye Martinez in the W35 Seville, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adriana Coltorti lopez' if Adriana Coltorti lopez advances against Ana Maye Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Ana Maye Martinez' if Ana Maye Martinez advances against Adriana Coltorti lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current top outcome is trading at a price reflecting its perceived likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Seville WTA match between Adriana Coltorti lopez and Ana Maye Martinez. The platform will verify the winner through established sports data sources. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted information to ensure a fair and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader trends in women's tennis, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, causing a rapid change in share prices. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 11, 2026.