TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 8:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Maines and Natalija Senic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Maines' if Noemi Maines advances against Natalija Senic. This market will resolve to 'Natalija Senic' if Natalija Senic advances against Noemi Maines. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Maines and Natalija Senic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Maines' if Noemi Maines advances against Natalija Senic. This market will resolve to 'Natalija Senic' if Natalija Senic advances against Noemi Maines. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing levels of information available to each.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Noemi Maines and Natalija Senic. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources for tennis results to determine the winning player. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. It is important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also lead to price movements. Finally, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily affect the price, although the overall trend will likely be driven by fundamental factors related to the players' performance.