TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Maines and Maria Toma in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Maines' if Noemi Maines advances against Maria Toma. This market will resolve to 'Maria Toma' if Maria Toma advances against Noemi Maines. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Maines and Maria Toma in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Maines' if Noemi Maines advances against Maria Toma. This market will resolve to 'Maria Toma' if Maria Toma advances against Noemi Maines. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, especially in response to breaking news or shifts in public opinion about the Maines vs Toma match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Noemi Maines and Maria Toma. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected match conditions could cause shifts in the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role. Strong performances by either player in preceding matches or tournaments could increase confidence in their chances. Unexpected announcements regarding the match schedule or location could also impact trading activity and move the market for the Maines vs Toma match.