TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Nina Radovanovic vs Natalija Senic
- Polymarket
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Nina Radovanovic vs Natalija Senic - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 16, 2026
Closed: Oct 16, 7:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nina Radovanovic and Natalija Senic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nina Radovanovic' if Nina Radovanovic advances against Natalija Senic. This market will resolve to 'Natalija Senic' if Natalija Senic advances against Nina Radovanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nina Radovanovic and Natalija Senic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nina Radovanovic' if Nina Radovanovic advances against Natalija Senic. This market will resolve to 'Natalija Senic' if Natalija Senic advances against Nina Radovanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbooks heavily favor one player, you might see a different probability distribution reflected in this market, especially if there's public information suggesting a different result. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or announcements related to the players.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is visible on the dashboard, and traders can use this information to make informed decisions about buying or selling shares in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match between Nina Radovanovic and Natalija Senic. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or coaching changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s probability assessment of the Radovanovic vs Senic match.