TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between NICOLE ANDREA Molaro and Iva Ivanovic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'NICOLE ANDREA Molaro' if NICOLE ANDREA Molaro advances against Iva Ivanovic. This market will resolve to 'Iva Ivanovic' if Iva Ivanovic advances against NICOLE ANDREA Molaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between NICOLE ANDREA Molaro and Iva Ivanovic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'NICOLE ANDREA Molaro' if NICOLE ANDREA Molaro advances against Iva Ivanovic. This market will resolve to 'Iva Ivanovic' if Iva Ivanovic advances against NICOLE ANDREA Molaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, they can influence the odds on Polymarket, potentially leading to discrepancies. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information from a diverse group of participants, resulting in a dynamically adjusted probability assessment for the Molaro vs Ivanovic match. The current volume of $866 suggests the level of recent activity influencing these prices.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Nicole Andrea Molaro and Iva Ivanovic. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the winning share. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also cause shifts. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could sway opinions and drive trading volume. Finally, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements, although the overall market tends to converge towards a consensus view as Oct 20, 2026 approaches.