TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matilde Mariani and Maria Toma in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Mariani' if Matilde Mariani advances against Maria Toma. This market will resolve to 'Maria Toma' if Maria Toma advances against Matilde Mariani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matilde Mariani and Maria Toma in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Mariani' if Matilde Mariani advances against Maria Toma. This market will resolve to 'Maria Toma' if Maria Toma advances against Matilde Mariani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates opinions from individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise to gauge public sentiment and identify potential value, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mariani vs Toma match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert predictions could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential market movements and inform trading decisions.