TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Toma and Agnese Gentili in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Toma' if Maria Toma advances against Agnese Gentili. This market will resolve to 'Agnese Gentili' if Agnese Gentili advances against Maria Toma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Toma and Agnese Gentili in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Toma' if Maria Toma advances against Agnese Gentili. This market will resolve to 'Agnese Gentili' if Agnese Gentili advances against Maria Toma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It is common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or shifts in sentiment than sportsbooks, leading to temporary differences in implied probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is solely determined by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the match between Maria Toma and Agnese Gentili.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match between Maria Toma and Agnese Gentili, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or significant shifts in public opinion could lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 13, 2026 resolution date.