TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Andrienko and Natalija Senic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Andrienko' if Maria Andrienko advances against Natalija Senic. This market will resolve to 'Natalija Senic' if Natalija Senic advances against Maria Andrienko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Andrienko and Natalija Senic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Andrienko' if Maria Andrienko advances against Natalija Senic. This market will resolve to 'Natalija Senic' if Natalija Senic advances against Maria Andrienko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle or when significant information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise, access to information, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and represents the aggregated forecast of all traders involved.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Maria Andrienko and Natalija Senic. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout of their shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their coaching staff could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could also cause fluctuations. Traders should closely monitor these signals and adjust their positions accordingly, as this market will continue to react to new information until it resolves.