TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lisa Zaar
- Polymarket
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lisa Zaar - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 11, 2026
Closed: Oct 11, 10:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur and Lisa Zaar in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur' if Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur advances against Lisa Zaar. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Zaar' if Lisa Zaar advances against Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur and Lisa Zaar in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur' if Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur advances against Lisa Zaar. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Zaar' if Lisa Zaar advances against Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and may adjust them based on betting action, but this market allows for a more dynamic and potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities as new information becomes available. While sportsbooks may focus on public perception, this market can reveal insights from informed traders, potentially leading to differences in implied probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the market price converges towards a consensus view of the likely winner. The current price reflects the collective prediction of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match between Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur and Lisa Zaar. The player declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the outcome of this market. Any protests or appeals must be resolved before the outcome is finalized and the market is settled on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed activity and cause noticeable price movements in the Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match.