TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgia Pedone and Ilary Pistola in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giorgia Pedone' if Giorgia Pedone advances against Ilary Pistola. This market will resolve to 'Ilary Pistola' if Ilary Pistola advances against Giorgia Pedone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgia Pedone and Ilary Pistola in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giorgia Pedone' if Giorgia Pedone advances against Ilary Pistola. This market will resolve to 'Ilary Pistola' if Ilary Pistola advances against Giorgia Pedone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to developments related to the Pedone vs Pistola match. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pedone vs Pistola match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Giorgia Pedone and Ilary Pistola. The platform will rely on publicly available and authoritative sources to determine the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. It's important to note that the resolution process is independent and based on objective results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Giorgia Pedone or Ilary Pistola, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected performance in other matches could also shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports commentators or analysts could also influence trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Pedone vs Pistola match has the potential to move the market.