TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriella Price and Natalija Senic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriella Price' if Gabriella Price advances against Natalija Senic. This market will resolve to 'Natalija Senic' if Natalija Senic advances against Gabriella Price. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriella Price and Natalija Senic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriella Price' if Gabriella Price advances against Natalija Senic. This market will resolve to 'Natalija Senic' if Natalija Senic advances against Gabriella Price. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's depth—the number of shares available at different price points—indicates the level of confidence and liquidity surrounding each potential result. This dynamic pricing system aims to accurately represent the collective prediction of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Gabriella Price and Natalija Senic. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources for tennis results to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official tennis news outlets and tournament websites for updates as the resolution date approaches, as these sources will be used to verify the final result and settle this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. A strong showing by either player in another tournament leading up to the match would likely influence the odds. Furthermore, any public statements from coaches or analysts offering insights into player strategies or form could also move the market. Unexpected withdrawals or changes to the match schedule would also be key catalysts to watch, as these events introduce uncertainty and can lead to rapid price adjustments.