TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Trevisan and Luisa Meyer auf der Heide in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Trevisan' if Federica Trevisan advances against Luisa Meyer auf der Heide. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Meyer auf der Heide' if Luisa Meyer auf der Heide advances against Federica Trevisan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Trevisan and Luisa Meyer auf der Heide in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Trevisan' if Federica Trevisan advances against Luisa Meyer auf der Heide. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Meyer auf der Heide' if Luisa Meyer auf der Heide advances against Federica Trevisan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling shares in this market and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different risk profiles and liquidity levels.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders involved.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Federica Trevisan and Luisa Meyer auf der Heide. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Federica Trevisan or Luisa Meyer auf der Heide could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the tournament itself, such as changes to the schedule or venue, might also cause shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public opinion expressed through polls or social media, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price leading up to Oct 13, 2026.