TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eleonora Alvisi and Giorgia Pedone in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eleonora Alvisi' if Eleonora Alvisi advances against Giorgia Pedone. This market will resolve to 'Giorgia Pedone' if Giorgia Pedone advances against Eleonora Alvisi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eleonora Alvisi and Giorgia Pedone in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eleonora Alvisi' if Eleonora Alvisi advances against Giorgia Pedone. This market will resolve to 'Giorgia Pedone' if Giorgia Pedone advances against Eleonora Alvisi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like house bias or marketing strategies. This market, driven by individual traders, can incorporate a broader range of information and perspectives, leading to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising the price and increased selling pressure lowering it. This dynamic process aims to converge on the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Eleonora Alvisi and Giorgia Pedone. Any official announcement from the tournament organizers will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either Eleonora Alvisi or Giorgia Pedone could significantly shift the odds. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, updates on weather conditions at the tournament location, and even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could also impact perceptions of each player’s chances, leading to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.