TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilla Gennaro and Giulia Paterno in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilla Gennaro' if Camilla Gennaro advances against Giulia Paterno. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Paterno' if Giulia Paterno advances against Camilla Gennaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilla Gennaro and Giulia Paterno in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilla Gennaro' if Camilla Gennaro advances against Giulia Paterno. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Paterno' if Giulia Paterno advances against Camilla Gennaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals actively trading on Polymarket. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast event outcomes accurately, sometimes surpassing the accuracy of polls or expert predictions. It's important to note that discrepancies can arise due to differing information access and risk assessment among participants in each venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Gennaro-Paterno match. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Camilla Gennaro and Giulia Paterno. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements and reports to stay informed about the event's progress and the eventual determination of the outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as expressed through social media or expert analysis, may also play a role. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as early lead changes or key player performance, will undoubtedly cause shifts in the market. Traders will closely watch these signals to adjust their positions and capitalize on any new information related to the Gennaro-Paterno match.