TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Petkovic and Giulia Paterno in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Petkovic' if Anna Petkovic advances against Giulia Paterno. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Paterno' if Giulia Paterno advances against Anna Petkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Petkovic and Giulia Paterno in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Petkovic' if Anna Petkovic advances against Giulia Paterno. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Paterno' if Giulia Paterno advances against Anna Petkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's life cycle or when significant information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares representing each possible outcome of the Petkovic vs Paterno match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Anna Petkovic and Giulia Paterno. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve.