TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Allegra Fiorani and Viola Bedini in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Allegra Fiorani' if Allegra Fiorani advances against Viola Bedini. This market will resolve to 'Viola Bedini' if Viola Bedini advances against Allegra Fiorani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Allegra Fiorani and Viola Bedini in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Allegra Fiorani' if Allegra Fiorani advances against Viola Bedini. This market will resolve to 'Viola Bedini' if Viola Bedini advances against Allegra Fiorani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Fiorani vs Bedini match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome being true. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Allegra Fiorani and Viola Bedini, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome will be declared the winner and shares will be paid out accordingly. The result will be publicly available after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts affecting the playing surface, could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting new information or changing sentiment.