TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Salma Drugdova and Lea Ma in the W35 Redding, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Salma Drugdova' if Salma Drugdova advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Salma Drugdova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Salma Drugdova and Lea Ma in the W35 Redding, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Salma Drugdova' if Salma Drugdova advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Salma Drugdova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket and changes dynamically with each trade, offering a constantly updated view of expectations for the Drugdova vs Ma match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Drugdova vs Ma match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. This ensures a fair and reliable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports experts or prominent commentators could also impact the market. Major shifts in betting volume, even without specific news, can also indicate changing expectations and cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.