TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nao Nishino and Abigail Rencheli in the W35 Redding, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nao Nishino' if Nao Nishino advances against Abigail Rencheli. This market will resolve to 'Abigail Rencheli' if Abigail Rencheli advances against Nao Nishino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nao Nishino and Abigail Rencheli in the W35 Redding, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nao Nishino' if Nao Nishino advances against Abigail Rencheli. This market will resolve to 'Abigail Rencheli' if Abigail Rencheli advances against Nao Nishino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there is significant public interest and informed trading. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information, offering a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the W35 Redding, CA match between Nao Nishino and Abigail Rencheli. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or scheduling adjustments, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader public sentiment could also impact the price of shares in this market, leading to volatility until resolution.