TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sholokhova and Connie Ma in the W35 Redding, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sholokhova' if Maria Sholokhova advances against Connie Ma. This market will resolve to 'Connie Ma' if Connie Ma advances against Maria Sholokhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sholokhova and Connie Ma in the W35 Redding, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sholokhova' if Maria Sholokhova advances against Connie Ma. This market will resolve to 'Connie Ma' if Connie Ma advances against Maria Sholokhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly in events where public perception differs from expert analysis. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price continually adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Redding, CA match between Maria Sholokhova and Connie Ma. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements.