TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karissa Chang and Nao Nishino in the W35 Redding, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karissa Chang' if Karissa Chang advances against Nao Nishino. This market will resolve to 'Nao Nishino' if Nao Nishino advances against Karissa Chang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karissa Chang and Nao Nishino in the W35 Redding, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karissa Chang' if Karissa Chang advances against Nao Nishino. This market will resolve to 'Nao Nishino' if Nao Nishino advances against Karissa Chang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Chang vs Nishino match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Chang vs Nishino match, as reported by official sources. The platform will utilize publicly available information to verify the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or performance could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities within this market.