TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 8:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Berta Passola and Eryn Cayetano in the W35 Redding, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Berta Passola' if Berta Passola advances against Eryn Cayetano. This market will resolve to 'Eryn Cayetano' if Eryn Cayetano advances against Berta Passola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Berta Passola and Eryn Cayetano in the W35 Redding, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Berta Passola' if Berta Passola advances against Eryn Cayetano. This market will resolve to 'Eryn Cayetano' if Eryn Cayetano advances against Berta Passola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, meaning that the market price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing perceptions about the Passola vs Cayetano match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Passola vs Cayetano match as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either Berta Passola or Eryn Cayetano, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match location or format could also have an impact. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns on Polymarket, will directly affect the price of shares and the implied probability of each outcome. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for potential catalysts.