TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 4:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zijun Jiang and Chihiro Muramatsu in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zijun Jiang' if Zijun Jiang advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Zijun Jiang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zijun Jiang and Chihiro Muramatsu in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zijun Jiang' if Zijun Jiang advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Zijun Jiang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can present opportunities for arbitrage, as traders may identify mispricings based on their own analysis and information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Zijun Jiang vs Chihiro Muramatsu match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating an implied probability for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, providing a dynamic forecast of the event’s outcome. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zijun Jiang vs Chihiro Muramatsu match as reported by the governing sporting body. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using widely accepted sources of information. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or significant analysis from sports commentators, may also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could temporarily move the market, although the overall trend will likely reflect the evolving consensus view of the event’s likely outcome.