TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 7:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yidi Yang and Yuhan Wang in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yidi Yang' if Yidi Yang advances against Yuhan Wang. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Yidi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yidi Yang and Yuhan Wang in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yidi Yang' if Yidi Yang advances against Yuhan Wang. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Yidi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each result. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, but it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match between Yidi Yang and Yuhan Wang, as reported by a trusted source covering the event. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor updates as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential changes or clarifications.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or strategic changes could significantly shift expectations. Public commentary from analysts or experts, as well as any pre-match polls or predictions, might also impact the market. Unexpected developments leading up to the match, such as changes in venue or weather conditions, could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.