TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yidi Yang and Chengyiyi Yuan in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yidi Yang' if Yidi Yang advances against Chengyiyi Yuan. This market will resolve to 'Chengyiyi Yuan' if Chengyiyi Yuan advances against Yidi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yidi Yang and Chengyiyi Yuan in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yidi Yang' if Yidi Yang advances against Chengyiyi Yuan. This market will resolve to 'Chengyiyi Yuan' if Chengyiyi Yuan advances against Yidi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view through trading on Polymarket, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. This difference can be an indicator of where the crowd sees value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of an outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure will lower the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Qian Daohu match. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed using widely accepted sources of information for professional tennis results. Traders should monitor for official announcements regarding the match's completion to understand when the market will be settled. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 29, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in form, or even weather conditions impacting the match could all shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one could also affect perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as expressed through social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the decisions of traders on Polymarket. Any significant development related to the players or the tournament has the potential to move the market.