TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xichen Zhao and WENFEI YU in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xichen Zhao' if Xichen Zhao advances against WENFEI YU. This market will resolve to 'WENFEI YU' if WENFEI YU advances against Xichen Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xichen Zhao and WENFEI YU in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xichen Zhao' if Xichen Zhao advances against WENFEI YU. This market will resolve to 'WENFEI YU' if WENFEI YU advances against Xichen Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s probabilities are driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different fee structures and cater to different types of bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Xichen Zhao vs WENFEI YU match, as declared by the governing sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for announcements regarding the match’s completion and the official result.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or any controversies surrounding the event could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility, reflecting a change in overall market perception.