TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 4:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xichen Zhao and Chihiro Muramatsu in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xichen Zhao' if Xichen Zhao advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Xichen Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xichen Zhao and Chihiro Muramatsu in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xichen Zhao' if Xichen Zhao advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Xichen Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully considered by sportsbooks, or react more quickly to new developments. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Xichen Zhao vs Chihiro Muramatsu match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader developments within the sport, might also impact the market. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Major upsets or surprising performances could lead to significant price movements.