TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xi Luo and Jiangxue HAN in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xi Luo' if Xi Luo advances against Jiangxue HAN. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against Xi Luo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xi Luo and Jiangxue HAN in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xi Luo' if Xi Luo advances against Jiangxue HAN. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against Xi Luo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to odds that can incorporate a broader range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes sportsbooks might be mispricing the probability of various results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Polymarket, and the market is open for trading until it resolves. The market's price is dynamic and adjusts based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the W35 Qian Daohu matchup, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Xi Luo or Jiangxue HAN could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the W35 Qian Daohu matchup could also influence trader sentiment. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, might also cause fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.