TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 6:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Chihiro Muramatsu in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Chihiro Muramatsu in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance betting action, while this market aggregates opinions from individuals with varying levels of expertise. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of perspectives considered within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Varvara Panshina vs Chihiro Muramatsu match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could all shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, expert analysis, and even social media discussions can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions. Significant shifts in betting volume on Polymarket would also be a key indicator of changing expectations regarding the match’s outcome.