TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 4:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Junlu Sun and Liuyan An in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junlu Sun' if Junlu Sun advances against Liuyan An. This market will resolve to 'Liuyan An' if Liuyan An advances against Junlu Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Junlu Sun and Liuyan An in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junlu Sun' if Junlu Sun advances against Liuyan An. This market will resolve to 'Liuyan An' if Liuyan An advances against Junlu Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of individuals, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money trading. If there's a significant discrepancy between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into the sportsbook's lines. It’s a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in the different possible outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Qian Daohu match, as reported by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which player is declared the winner and to settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions impacting the match could all cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the W35 Qian Daohu tournament, could also play a role. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to be reflected in the price movement of shares on Polymarket.