TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Junjie Sun and Chihiro Muramatsu in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junjie Sun' if Junjie Sun advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Junjie Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Junjie Sun and Chihiro Muramatsu in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junjie Sun' if Junjie Sun advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Junjie Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If prediction market participants have access to unique information or a different analytical approach, the odds here could diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a significant amount of trading volume occurs, as the market finds its equilibrium.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Junjie Sun vs Chihiro Muramatsu match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and winning shares will be paid out accordingly. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on publicly available, verifiable information, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their training regimes could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or potential rule changes could also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants, or even significant media coverage, could lead to shifts in the market price. As the match date approaches, any updates or analysis from sports analysts will likely influence the market.