TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Junhan Zhang and Jiaqi Wang in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Jiaqi Wang. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against Junhan Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Junhan Zhang and Jiaqi Wang in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Jiaqi Wang. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against Junhan Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Zhang vs Wang match. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhang vs Wang match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The market will determine which competitor emerged victorious, based on publicly available and verifiable data. Traders will then be paid out according to their holdings in the winning outcome's shares, reflecting the final result of the competition.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception, could also lead to notable price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the market to react accordingly, all before Oct 29, 2026.