TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Xiaowei Li in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Xiaowei Li. This market will resolve to 'Xiaowei Li' if Xiaowei Li advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Xiaowei Li in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Xiaowei Li. This market will resolve to 'Xiaowei Li' if Xiaowei Li advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it's important to remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the W35 Qian Daohu matchup. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likely result. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the W35 Qian Daohu matchup. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Jiumeng Liu or Xiaowei Li could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also shift perceptions of their relative strengths. Public sentiment, analyst predictions, and even large individual trades on Polymarket can all contribute to price movements in this market.