TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiayu Xu and Kanna Soeda in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiayu Xu' if Jiayu Xu advances against Kanna Soeda. This market will resolve to 'Kanna Soeda' if Kanna Soeda advances against Jiayu Xu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiayu Xu and Kanna Soeda in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiayu Xu' if Jiayu Xu advances against Kanna Soeda. This market will resolve to 'Kanna Soeda' if Kanna Soeda advances against Jiayu Xu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual bettors. If a significant amount of money flows toward one outcome, the price will adjust accordingly, potentially signaling information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Jiayu Xu vs Kanna Soeda match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment surrounding the Jiayu Xu vs Kanna Soeda match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiayu Xu vs Kanna Soeda match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed bettors could quickly move the market, reflecting new information or strategic positioning related to the Jiayu Xu vs Kanna Soeda match.