TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiangxue HAN and jiale Zhang in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against jiale Zhang. This market will resolve to 'jiale Zhang' if jiale Zhang advances against Jiangxue HAN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiangxue HAN and jiale Zhang in the W35 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against jiale Zhang. This market will resolve to 'jiale Zhang' if jiale Zhang advances against Jiangxue HAN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the Qian Daohu match outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Qian Daohu match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution over the possible results. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and changes as new information becomes available or opinions shift. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes for either Jiangxue HAN or jiale Zhang could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, driven by analysis or commentary, can impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.