TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 2:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Ovcharenko and Junlu Sun in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Ovcharenko' if Ekaterina Ovcharenko advances against Junlu Sun. This market will resolve to 'Junlu Sun' if Junlu Sun advances against Ekaterina Ovcharenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Ovcharenko and Junlu Sun in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Ovcharenko' if Ekaterina Ovcharenko advances against Junlu Sun. This market will resolve to 'Junlu Sun' if Junlu Sun advances against Ekaterina Ovcharenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different assessment than traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to the wisdom of the crowd effect, where the collective predictions of many individuals can be more accurate than those of professional oddsmakers. It's also possible that differing levels of information and analytical approaches contribute to these discrepancies. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for anyone interested in understanding the nuances of forecasting event outcomes, and how public perception impacts pricing in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match between Ekaterina Ovcharenko and Junlu Sun, as determined by the governing body of the competition. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available and used to settle all outstanding contracts.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Ekaterina Ovcharenko or Junlu Sun could significantly shift expectations. Publicly released analysis from experts in the Qian Daohu scene, or even shifts in social media sentiment, could also drive price movements. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends within the competition, might also impact how traders assess the probabilities and adjust their positions in this market.